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Philippine official fabricates ‘iron triangle’ narrative over Huangyan Dao; expert rebukes Manila’s smear attempt_我的网站

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原标题：生意社基差率分布年度监测（2022/09/14）生意社生意社定义：基差率＝主力基差/现货价格×100%。         Drone image shows Philippine public vessels in waters near China's Huangyan Dao on July 23, 2026, for a supply mission for 12 Philippine "octopus boats" in the area. During the cargo transfer operation, a large amount of fuel supplied by the Philippine vessels leaked. Photo: Courtesy of China Coast GuardMarking another attempt to smear China's legitimate actions over Huangyan Dao, a Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) spokesperson claimed that China's possible "militarization" of the island could allow it to dominate much of the South China Sea and threaten freedom of navigation. Chinese experts said the claim deliberately hypes the so-called "China threat" rhetoric and turns the facts on their head, arguing that while Manila itself has been strengthening its military presence and fueling regional tensions, it appears to be demanding unrestricted access for its own vessels to waters around China's Huangyan Dao under the guise of "freedom of navigation."
PCG spokesperson Jay Tarriela claimed on Monday that Huangyan Dao is the last remaining point needed to complete China's "iron triangle" in the disputed waters, according to Manila Bulletin. 
Tarriela claimed during the National Maritime Council's (NMC) first semester press briefing in Manila that if connecting the Xisha Islands with Huangyan Dao, and Huangyan Dao with the Nansha Qundao, "it will allow China to dominate the entire maritime space of the South China Sea." He claimed that such pattern threatens freedom of navigation in a route carrying a large share of global trade.
In a social media post, Tarriela went further, alleging that if China "militarizes it (Huangyan Dao), the triangle closes and the danger stops being a Philippine problem." 
China has never carried out any so-called "militarization" of Huangyan Dao. The latest claim is another victimhood narrative fabricated by certain people in the Philippines to portray the country as being threatened and rally other countries behind its position as freedom of navigation has been a closely watched topic internationally, Chen Xiangmiao, director of the World Navy Research Center at the National Institute for South China Sea Studies, told the Global Times, noting that China's activities around Huangyan Dao mainly involve routine patrols and law enforcement actions by the China Coast Guard to safeguard national sovereignty, security and maritime rights and interests.
China exercises sovereignty and jurisdiction over relevant waters in accordance with law. Even the deployment of law-enforcement forces or necessary defensive capabilities in relevant areas by no means freedom of navigation in the South China Sea would be affected, said Chen.
He argued that the South China Sea remains one of the world's busiest international shipping routes, and normal commercial navigation has never been obstructed by China. What the Philippines calls "freedom of navigation" appears to conflate commercial navigation with its demand that Philippine fishing vessels, coast guard ships, government vessels and even warships be allowed unrestricted access to waters around China's Huangyan Dao.
Last month, the Philippine side organized seven public vessels, three coast guard ships and one fish transport ship, and egged on a large number of fishing boats to illegally assemble in the waters under China's jurisdiction at Huangyan Dao, Jiang Lue, spokesperson for the China Coast Guard (CCG) said.
During this period, three Philippine public vessels - MMOV 3001, MMOV 3005 and MMOV 3017 - ignored repeated dissuasion and warnings from the CCG and obstinately intruded into the territorial waters of China's Huangyan Dao, Jiang added.
The CCG took necessary countermeasures in accordance with the law against the Philippine rights-violation vessels, including verbal warnings, blocking, and shooting water cannons, to resolutely expel them.
The Global Times learned that the Philippines harbored clear provocative intentions in this aggressive intrusion. Its vessel MMOV 3001 repeatedly charged at high speed into the 12-nautical-mile territorial waters surrounding China's Huangyan Dao. On-site footage obtained by the Global Times also shows this Philippine vessel was fitted with anti-collision padding, prepped for anticipated vessel collisions.
Also last month, Chinese foreign ministry firmly rejected and said it will never accept the delimitation of the so-called "baselines of the territorial sea" of China's territory of Huangyan Dao by the Philippines, stressing it is illegal, null and void. 
The statement came after the Philippines claimed it has deposited its official nautical chart of Huangyan Dao and its surrounding maritime zones with the United Nations Secretariat. 
With regard to the Philippines' illegal and false claims, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in the Friday's statement that Huangyan Dao is China's inherent territory. China has indisputable sovereignty over it and its adjacent waters, and has sovereign rights and jurisdiction over the relevant waters. China has continuously, peacefully and effectively exercised sovereignty and jurisdiction over Huangyan Dao. The territory of the Philippines has been defined by a series of international treaties, and Huangyan Dao has never been a part of it. The Philippines' illegal territorial claim over China's Huangyan Dao is completely baseless under international law, according to the ministry.
Chen said that in fact, it is increasingly clear who is fueling militarization in the South China Sea. The Philippines has continued to strengthen their military presence and activities in the region in recent years. Manila's attempt to smear China's legitimate actions around Huangyan Dao as a threat to freedom of navigation is essentially a political narrative rather than a reflection of the actual state of navigation in the South China Sea.
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二 | 据生意社对基差率10年以上的监测发现，较长周期内基差率符合正态分布，且具有以下的特征：1、基差率变化有一定的趋势；2、基差率放大到一定程度必然回归。生意社测算了各商品期货的最新基差率，在不同周期内的分布（见以下各表）。基于正态分布理论：1σ外（表示基差率分布在平均值±1个标准差之外），投资机会较大；2σ外投资机会更大。2022-09-13基差率在1年内的分布

商品名称	当日基差率	均值	分布
大豆(期)	5.80%	-0.67%	1σ外
玉米	-2.03%	-0.98%
玉米淀粉	3.19%	6.62%
苯乙烯	5.58%	1.91%
乙二醇	-2.31%	1.66%	1σ外
铁矿石(澳)	6.23%	12.81%	1σ外
冶金焦	1.23%	-4.16%
鸡蛋	22.45%	5.89%	1σ外
炼焦煤	20.25%	13.30%
LLDPE	-0.35%	1.59%
生猪	-0.21%	-6.52%
豆粕	18.12%	10.25%	1σ外
棕榈油(期)	8.28%	14.44%	1σ外
液化气	5.30%	6.13%
PP(拉丝)	1.20%	0.82%
PVC	-1.07%	2.04%
大豆油	10.71%	6.61%	2σ外
皮棉	8.09%	6.04%
棉纱32S	19.41%	10.74%	1σ外
玻璃	3.19%	6.82%
甲醇	-0.76%	-0.42%
菜籽油	17.09%	5.90%	2σ外
涤纶短纤	3.48%	4.45%
小麦	3.83%	9.17%
菜籽粕	18.47%	7.84%	1σ外
油菜籽(期)	10.31%	2.47%	2σ外
重质纯碱	17.37%	9.41%
硅铁	-9.01%	-2.20%	1σ外
锰硅	-3.79%	-0.55%
白糖	3.51%	-0.66%	1σ外
PTA	14.26%	2.23%	2σ外
尿素	3.07%	7.27%
动力煤	1.33%	22.53%	2σ外
铜(期)	1.11%	0.71%
铝(期)	-0.34%	-0.11%
锌(期)	2.33%	1.12%	1σ外
铅(期)	-0.18%	-0.14%
镍(期)	2.10%	3.14%
锡(期)	3.21%	2.24%
黄金	0.03%	-0.29%
白银	-0.53%	-0.75%
螺纹钢	4.85%	3.44%
线材	-8.62%	-0.54%	1σ外
热轧板卷	3.06%	2.58%
不锈钢	0.60%	4.69%	1σ外
燃料油	57.40%	43.97%	2σ外
沥青	13.95%	4.35%	1σ外
天然橡胶	-5.63%	-5.06%
针叶木浆	9.33%	2.39%	1σ外
小麦(强)	-5.06%	-7.30%

注：1σ外，表示基差率分布在平均值±1个标准差之外。2σ外，表示基差率分布在平均值±2个标准差之外。分布在1σ内的，则不予标记（即为空）。猜你喜欢 1.生意社：库存低位 上半年豆油棕榈油居高不下 2.生意社：美经济数据利好&OPEC政策悬而未决 油价升至两年半新高 3.生意社：二季度正丁醇行情大涨33% “阅读原文”查看更多↓↓↓ 返回搜狐，查看更多责任编辑：

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Published on:08:02:08